币毒
币毒
Interview guest in the first issue of "Still OK Life", OKX trendy brand manager, 2025 OKX Outstanding Creator, 2024 OKX Web3 Influencer, 2023 OKX Trading Master, non-famous wild trader/Web3 investor/spot/contract/arbitrage, Twitter X with the same name: Coin Poison
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The daily line has reached the middle track, and there is still a chance for one last dance.

币毒
The BTC daily chart shows this kind of trend, and many people are probably already getting anxious.
After a sharp drop, it has formed a standard ascending channel, and the price is now touching the upper line, entering a new battleground: chase the long or blindly short.
Operations still need to wait; we need to see: can the upper line be truly broken?
True breakout → market accelerates, takes off directly, 80K+ in sight.
False breakout → a sharp drop, and here are all the bag holders.
Be patient and wait; news from the U.S. and Japan could accelerate either of the two scenarios at any time, and then we can act accordingly.

🐍 Ado Crypto Daily | 2026.05.01
📊 Market Overview
BTC: $76,583 (+1.34%)
ETH: $2,266 (+1.13%)
SOL: $83.48 (+0.67%)
BNB: $616.69 (-0.06%)
XRP: $1.37 (-0.14%)
DOGE: $0.1085 (+3.02%)
TRX: $0.326 (+0.75%)
Total Crypto Market Cap: Approximately $2.637 trillion
24h Total Market Cap Change: +0.91%
24h Trading Volume Change: -30.28%
BTC Market Share: 58.17%
Conclusion in One Sentence: The market has slightly recovered, but the volume has clearly dropped, indicating more of a stop-loss rebound rather than a strong trend return.
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🔥 Today's Highlights
1) BTC has rebounded, but still hasn't broken through key resistance
• BTC returned to the 76.5k level
• ETH/SOL followed with a small recovery
• However, total market trading volume has dropped over 30%
Interpretation: There was an increase, but without volume. It feels more like short covering and sentiment recovery, not a strong influx of capital.
2) 80k remains a hard resistance level
• Coindesk states: BTC still faces profit-taking and derivative risk aversion around 80k
• High oil prices, rising bond yields, and inflation data are all pressuring risk assets
Interpretation: As long as 80k is not surpassed, it will be difficult to say that the short-term trend has truly strengthened.
3) Stablecoins remain the strongest mainline
• Visa continues to expand its stablecoin settlement network
• Anchorage + M0 push for regulated stablecoin infrastructure
• Coinbase Asset Management has also started a stablecoin credit fund
Interpretation: The clearest direction for the industry in the crypto space remains payment, clearing, and yield-generating stablecoins.
4) Prediction Market heat continues to rise
• Gemini has obtained a derivative brand license to challenge Kalshi / Polymarket
• Polymarket integrates Chainalysis, aiming for a more compliant route
• The U.S. Senate even modified rules to prohibit senators from participating in prediction market betting
Interpretation: This sector is moving from a marginal play to a Wall Street-like, compliant approach.
5) Security issues continue to hold back progress
• Wasabi Protocol was hacked for $4.5 million
• Reports indicate North Korean hackers have accounted for 76% of crypto attack losses this year
Interpretation: There are many stories to tell in a bull market, but security shortcomings remain the most real discount factor in the industry.
6) Hotspot differentiation remains obvious
• DOGE continues to be strong
• XRP social sentiment is overheated, entering FOMO territory
• Aptos, Sui, and others are relatively active
Interpretation: Mainstream coins have not fully exploded, but thematic rotation is still ongoing, indicating that market risk appetite has not completely extinguished.
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🧠 Ado's Commentary
Today's market core is weak recovery.
BTC hasn't continued to crash, indicating the bottom is still there; however, the volume has clearly shrunk, showing that the willingness to chase prices is still average.
Currently, the most stable mainline is still not the altcoins flying around, but rather stablecoins, institutional compliance, and payment infrastructure.
In one sentence: Short-term recovery, mid-term logic remains intact, but if BTC really wants to strengthen, it still needs to challenge and stabilize above 80k first.


币毒
Today is Wednesday, the sun is shining brightly, the temperature is 39 degrees, the air conditioning in the classroom is broken, so I'm strolling around the mall with my phone while attending online classes, and casually sipping on a cup of SOL. It's a simple yet fulfilling day, and as for the market, what’s meant to come will come; there's no need to keep staring at it all the time.

All done! Several friends have asked me why I've been tweeting like a pig today. Did my account get hacked, or did I hire an assistant to help me out?
To respond uniformly, I'm sorry for not tweeting before; I was just trying to act cool. I'm now in the classroom and ready to start the lesson. You can tell me about your family background, emotional experiences, and unfulfilled dreams, and I'll reply in a second.
After coming out, I really became more optimistic about stablecoins and the payment (consumption) sector. The first time I heard about financial inclusivity was in the summer of 2024, when I listened to a sister discuss this topic in Dubai, sharing how Binance Pay has helped countless countries and regions solve issues related to asset preservation and consumption payments in ways we can't see.
That was the moment I truly stepped out of that cage, realizing that blockchain has given ordinary people the opportunity for asset allocation, and the development of the crypto industry has allowed more people to have equal participation rights, rather than just the daily ups and downs in the Chinese-speaking world, which may also include sideways movements.
Now, when I find myself abroad, I feel even more the greatness of crypto and consumption. From the time I first arrived, when I would carry a bunch of cash out and come back with a pocket full of coins, to now when I only need to take my phone with me.
However, the last mile problem has still not been solved. I still need to transfer USDT to a Thai bank card before I can spend. In this last mile of payment, I am monitoring the progress of consumption products from every exchange every day.
First, I applied for the Bitget Wallet physical card, but due to issues with my own information submission, it is still stuck in review.
Then I saw that OKX Pay also released a VISA physical card, but it is currently limited to applications from Singapore. I believe it will soon expand to the entire Southeast Asia region.
Finally, I noticed that Binance has also reintroduced a payment card after several years. Unlike the previous physical VISA card, this time it is a MasterCard. Due to regional restrictions, I have not yet been able to get my hands on it. I don't know if there will be a physical card, but I have already made a reservation at the first opportunity.
As for my last mile of payment, I will rely on the hard work of all the bosses.
🐍 Ado Crypto Daily | 2026.04.30
📊 Market Overview
BTC: $76,219 (-0.03%)
ETH: $2,269 (-0.53%)
SOL: $83.81 (-0.05%)
BNB: $619.53 (-0.59%)
XRP: $1.38 (-0.05%)
DOGE: $0.1069 (+7.36%)
TRX: $0.323 (+0.38%)
Total Crypto Market Cap: Approximately $2.629 trillion
24h Market Cap Change: -0.47%
24h Trading Volume Change: +33.34%
BTC Market Share: 58.04%
Conclusion in One Sentence: BTC is still consolidating, but the market is clearly under pressure from macroeconomic factors and the situation in the Middle East, with funds leaning more towards defense, and hotspots concentrated in stablecoins and a few strong narrative coins.
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🔥 Today's Highlights
1) BTC continues to hover around 76k, with no direction in the market
• BTC is basically flat
• ETH/SOL continue to be weak
• Trading volume has actually increased by 33%
Interpretation: Increased volume without price rise is not a good signal, indicating a significant divergence between bulls and bears, with funds rotating rather than a consensus bullish outlook.
2) Middle East risks are pressuring the market again
• Coindesk mentioned: After Trump rejected proposals related to Iran, oil prices surged by 6% at one point
• Crypto stocks like Coinbase and Robinhood are also under pressure
Interpretation: BTC is no longer following its own logic; oil prices, geopolitical issues, and risk asset sentiment will directly impact the crypto space.
3) The Federal Reserve remains inactive, but the macro environment is not friendly
• Fed keeps interest rates unchanged
• Powell's continued tenure brings more policy uncertainty
• The market is still hesitant about "returning to 80k"
Interpretation: Not raising interest rates does not equate to an immediate positive outlook; the key is whether risk appetite has returned, and currently, it has not.
4) Institutional logic remains, but short-term buying is weak
• Coinbase Premium turns negative
• Realized losses have surged to about $6 billion
• However, the ETF/institutional long-term allocation logic remains intact, with 21Shares still expecting BTC to reach 100k within the year
Interpretation: Short-term demand in the U.S. spot market is cooling, but the mid-term funding narrative is still intact.
5) Stablecoin adoption continues to accelerate
• Meta starts issuing stablecoins to some creators via Stripe
• Visa expands its stablecoin settlement network, with an annualized volume reaching $7 billion
• This line remains one of the most stable fundamental positives
Interpretation: Payment and settlement on-chain are genuinely taking place, moving beyond the storytelling phase.
6) Industry sentiment is severely polarized
• DOGE surges by 7%
• Hyperliquid is preparing to enter the prediction market
• Tether promotes the merger of Twenty One Capital
Interpretation: Major coins are sluggish, but speculative funds are still seeking hotspots in specific areas, not a complete shutdown.
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🧠 Ado's Commentary
Today's market core is not about collapse, but rather pressure.
BTC has not lost control and is not falling sharply, indicating that underlying funds are still present; however, it has not strengthened, showing that macroeconomic risks, Middle East tensions, and weakening U.S. spot demand are suppressing upward potential.
In one sentence: Short-term is neutral to weak, BTC is still waiting for external conditions to ease, with the current strongest narrative remaining stablecoins and institutional allocations.
In this trendless market, according to the standard paradigm, there is something to gain.
Trading is actually very simple: wait for opportunities, open positions, set stop losses, then do what you need to do, and in the end, either take a loss or collect profits.
You just need to ensure that when you lose, you lose less, and when you earn, you earn more. Extending the time frame will lead to profitability.

币毒
The current structure is actually quite clear.
The short-term double top has basically formed, the neckline has been broken, and this position happens to be near the lower edge of the ascending channel. Now that the edge has been broken, it indicates that this upward trend is likely over.
If it can still be pushed up hard, theoretically it can only form a wedge or a triple top, but I think the probability of that is low.
So the current thinking is very simple: don't chase shorts, wait for a small-level rebound. The rebound is expected to be around 77.8k, and at that position, continue to look for short opportunities. If there is another acceleration in the decline, 73.5k is basically going to be tested. Once it reaches that area, we will see if there is a new structure emerging.
At this stage, I still remain bearish.

I am very curious why in the past, some people could help others set up a VPN to make money, but now no one is helping people set up a ladder to make money, especially since the steps to set up a VPN are far less complicated than those for setting up a crab trap, which is thought-provoking.
Setup costs:
Server 500G/month $30 a year
Server 1TB/month $50 a year
Server 2TB/month $100 a year
Setting up a ladder requires about 5-10 commands to execute.
Then provide the user with an ID that has already purchased a small rocket, and at the same time install the Mac/Windows client version, taking 30 seconds to fill in the configured IP, encryption method, password, port, etc., and the task is complete.
Finally, charge $100 once, which not only alleviates the anxiety of those who are worried about ladders but also helps them set up their private VPN, while also earning a service fee. By the end of the month, isn't it more than what you earn from a hard job?
There will definitely be nitpickers asking why I don't do this if it's so profitable. I do it, charging $200, only making money from wealthy people, is that okay?
Today is Wednesday, the sun is shining brightly, the temperature is 39 degrees, the air conditioning in the classroom is broken, so I'm strolling around the mall with my phone while attending online classes, and casually sipping on a cup of SOL. It's a simple yet fulfilling day, and as for the market, what’s meant to come will come; there's no need to keep staring at it all the time.

The current structure is actually quite clear.
The short-term double top has basically formed, the neckline has been broken, and this position happens to be near the lower edge of the ascending channel. Now that the edge has been broken, it indicates that this upward trend is likely over.
If it can still be pushed up hard, theoretically it can only form a wedge or a triple top, but I think the probability of that is low.
So the current thinking is very simple: don't chase shorts, wait for a small-level rebound. The rebound is expected to be around 77.8k, and at that position, continue to look for short opportunities. If there is another acceleration in the decline, 73.5k is basically going to be tested. Once it reaches that area, we will see if there is a new structure emerging.
At this stage, I still remain bearish.
