吴恒驹

OKX Orbit Creator Earnings Program: A Complete Guide at 12 Points (Practical Tutorial) @OKX中文 @OKX成长学院 @OKX星球 @OKX Orbit #新手成长营 $BTC $ETH $OKB 1. Understand the Earnings Mechanism The OKX Orbit creator earnings adopt a fixed reward pool model, where the platform distributes earnings to all eligible creators weekly. Earnings are not calculated directly based on the number of posts but are scored based on content quality, user interaction quality, and the strength of fan relationships. In simple terms, the more professional the content and the more genuine the interactions, the higher the earnings. 2. Accounts Must Meet Basic Conditions To participate in earnings, the account must first complete real-name authentication and maintain a normal account status during the current settlement period, with no record of violations. As long as the rules are met, the system will automatically include the account in the weekly earnings settlement without additional registration. 3. Publish Valid Content at Least Weekly At least one piece of original content related to cryptocurrency must be published during each earnings cycle. This includes market analysis, market opinions, project research, on-chain data, trading reviews, etc. Content automatically synced from X (Twitter) to Orbit also counts as valid posts. 4. Content Must Remain Online Many people overlook this point. The official statement clearly indicates that at least one piece of content from the current cycle must still be online at the time of earnings distribution. If a post is deleted or hidden by the user, or taken down due to violations, that content will not be included in the earnings calculation. 5. Prioritize Posting About Hot Coins It is recommended to focus on posting about BTC, ETH, SOL, and recently popular Memes or new coins. Hot coins naturally attract traffic and are more likely to receive views and comments. For example, support and resistance analysis, short-term trend judgments, and evening market predictions are all high-interaction topics. 6. Posts Must Include Logic and Price Ranges Do not just write "bullish" or "bearish"; provide specific logic. For example: Focus on the $80,000 resistance level for BTC; if it breaks out with volume, continue to look for $81,500; if it drops below $79,200, pay attention to short-term risks. This increases professionalism and makes it easier to be recommended. 7. Make Good Use of Official Monetization Features The official tutorial mentions two efficient monetization methods: the first is to use $coin tags, such as $BTC, $ETH; the second is to share position cards, trading cards, and holding cards. This not only increases click-through rates but also makes it easier for users to engage. 8. Maintain a Consistent Update Frequency The core of earnings is not a single viral post but long-term continuous output. It is recommended to maintain 2-3 content updates daily, such as morning strategies, midday reviews, and evening opinions. Continuous updates can enhance fan loyalty and align better with the platform's scoring logic for "user connection strength." 9. Absolutely Prohibit Misleading Inducement Content Do not post content like "guaranteed profit," "must rise," "go all in," or "double your money"; do not organize users to pump or engage in volume manipulation. These actions may be deemed misleading content, market manipulation, or coordinated trading, resulting in limited reach or even disqualification from earnings. 10. Prohibit Volume Manipulation and Multi-Account Promotion The official content policy clearly prohibits the use of bots, multiple accounts, paid comments, or abnormal likes to artificially inflate interaction data. This includes repeatedly posting the same content, group-controlled comments, and mutual likes, all of which are considered violations and may lead to direct bans on earnings privileges in severe cases. 11. Remember the Earnings Settlement Time Creator earnings are settled weekly, and rewards are usually distributed directly to the funding account on the following Wednesday after the week ends. If the calculated earnings are less than 5 USDT, they will not be distributed. Therefore, do not only focus on the number of posts but also pay attention to interaction quality and content depth. 12. The Core is Long-Term Account Operation Those who truly earn steadily are not the ones who post dozens of times in a day but those who continuously output professional, compliant, and logical content over the long term. Treat the account as a long-term content operation account, continuously accumulating fans and improving interaction quality; earnings will gradually increase as weight improves.

$AI AIUSDT contract trading depth analysis, that's it, family! 1. Core market snapshot • Asset: AI/USDT perpetual contract • Current price: 0.03577 USDT (equivalent to 0.24426 CNY) • 24-hour decline: 17.27% • Price range: High 0.04780 USDT / Low 0.03482 USDT • 24-hour trading volume: AI 2.472 billion, USDT 88.417 million • Position background: Users opened long positions at 0.03577 during the downtrend, currently floating profit +1.9 USDT 2. Technical multi-dimensional analysis (4-hour cycle) 1. Moving average system signals Indicator Value Signal interpretation MA5 0.03820 Price has broken below the 5-period moving average, forming short-term resistance MA10 0.04338 Price is far from the 10-period moving average, bearish trend is clear EMA5 0.03837 Exponential moving average is declining, short-term rebound resistance level EMA10 0.04101 Moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, downward momentum has not weakened 2. K-line and volume characteristics • K-line pattern: The 4-hour chart shows a series of consecutive bearish K-lines, with highs continuously declining, forming a standard descending channel • Volume change: During the decline, volume did not show significant contraction, indicating that selling pressure is still ongoing, and bottom-fishing funds are insufficiently supportive • Key price: Previous high of 0.06158 USDT, current price has halved by over 40% 3. Core driving factors for the decline 1. Long liquidation and panic selling effect Recent long positions accumulated during the upward trend concentrated on liquidation, triggering a chain of sell-offs, which is the direct catalyst for this rapid decline. In the contract market, long liquidation is a selling behavior that directly exacerbates downward price pressure, especially in small-cap markets lacking buying support, easily forming a negative feedback loop. 2. Market sentiment and liquidity • The overall crypto market is in an adjustment cycle, with risk appetite shrinking, and funds withdrawing from high-volatility altcoins • 88.417 million USDT in trading volume over 24 hours is still considered high volatility liquidity for a coin that has halved, indicating significant market divergence, and it has not yet entered the "prolonged decline and bottoming" phase 3. Stop-loss orders triggered by technical breakdowns After the price breaks below key support levels (such as 0.04, 0.038), a large number of stop-loss orders are triggered, further amplifying the decline, which is also a significant cause of the continuous large bearish K-lines in the 4-hour chart. 4. Current long position trading strategy analysis 1. Opening logic review • Advantage: The opening position is close to the low range of this decline (0.03482-0.03577), providing a short-term rebound opportunity • Risk: Under the bearish arrangement of moving averages, the rebound height is likely limited to the 0.038-0.040 range; if it cannot break through this area, the price is likely to continue to decline 2. Key operation reference points Type Price range Operation suggestion First resistance level 0.03800-0.03850 Close to MA5/EMA5, if it breaks through with volume, hold until 0.04000; if blocked, reduce positions or take profit Second resistance level 0.04000-0.04100 Strong resistance range, corresponding to near EMA10, is the core area for bearish defense First support level 0.03480-0.03500 This decline's low point; if it breaks below this position, the downtrend will continue, strict stop-loss is required Second support level 0.03200-0.03300 Previous platform support; if touched, consider light position averaging down costs 3. Risk control key points • Position management: Currently, this is a counter-trend trade; it is recommended that total positions do not exceed 10% of funds to avoid high leverage • Take profit and stop-loss: ◦ Take profit target: 0.03800-0.03900 (corresponding to a rebound of about 7%-9%) ◦ Stop-loss setting: Unconditionally exit if it falls below 0.03450 to avoid deep losses • Time cycle: Before the 4-hour downtrend reverses, long-term holding is not recommended, focusing on short-term rebounds 5. Market follow-up scenarios 1. Optimistic scenario (30% probability): Price builds a bottom in the 0.034-0.036 range, breaks through the 0.04000 resistance level with volume, and returns to the oscillating upward channel, targeting 0.04500 2. Neutral scenario (50% probability): Price oscillates and consolidates in the 0.034-0.040 range, moving averages gradually flatten, waiting for market sentiment to warm up before choosing a direction 3. Pessimistic scenario (20% probability): Support level is lost, price continues to decline, testing the previous platform near 0.03000, or even creating new lows 6. Summary and suggestions Currently, AIUSDT is in a clear 4-hour downtrend, and the panic selling effect triggered by long liquidations has not been fully digested. Opening long positions at low levels is a speculative behavior for a rebound, possessing certain short-term trading value, but strict execution of stop-loss and take-profit plans is necessary to avoid holding against the trend. Key follow-up points to watch: • Whether the price can break through the 0.038-0.040 resistance range with volume • Whether trading volume shows signs of contraction (indicating weakening selling pressure) • Whether the overall market (BTC/ETH) stabilizes and warms up, driving the sentiment recovery of altcoins ⚠️ Reminder: Contract trading is extremely risky, and the above analysis is only a strategic reference based on the current market conditions, not investment advice. Please formulate a trading plan according to your own risk tolerance.

$BTC Bitcoin (BTC) Short Selling Core Reasons 1. Technical High-Level False Breakout, Key Resistance Under Pressure BTC failed to break out in the 76000-77300 range, forming a typical false breakout pattern. The 76100-76800 range has turned into a strong resistance level, with clear pressure from moving averages on the 4-hour chart, and the rebound momentum continues to weaken, opening up downward space. 2. Strengthened Hawkish Expectations from the Federal Reserve, Liquidity Tightening is Bearish The Federal Reserve has signaled that "high rates will be maintained longer," with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rising to a new high for the year. The attractiveness of fixed-income assets has increased, leading to capital flowing out of high-volatility risk assets, putting continuous pressure on Bitcoin's valuation. 3. Market Volume is Weak, Bullish Buying is Severely Insufficient The current market rebound lacks incremental capital support, with 24-hour spot trading volume continuing to decline. The perpetual contract funding rate has been weak for a long time, reflecting low market willingness to go long, with bearish selling pressure dominating. 4. Technical Indicators Emit Clear Bearish Signals The daily MACD has formed a death cross, the weekly KDJ has retreated from high levels, the Bollinger Bands price is under pressure below the middle band, and the 4-hour moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, with multiple indicators resonating to signal a weakening trend. 5. Bearish Sentiment Dominates the Options Market, Delta Skew Weakens The options market delta skew shows an increase in put option premiums, with institutional investors buying put options to hedge against downside risks, confirming the market's consensus expectation of a short-term decline, as bearish positions continue to rise. 6. On-Chain Data is Weak, Market Has Not Yet Escaped the Repair Phase Glassnode data shows that prices are encountering resistance near the cost line for short-term holders, with on-chain activity continuing to decline. Indicators like MVRV are weak, and the market has not yet formed a consensus for a new upward cycle, with downside risks far greater than upside potential. 7. High-Level Fluctuations Forming a Top, Double Top Pattern Established BTC has formed a double top structure near 77800, with the neckline at 75500 being tested multiple times. A valid breakdown will trigger technical selling pressure, with significant downward space existing at the support level of 73500-74000. ⚠️ Risk Warning: The above content is only a market logic analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries extremely high risks, and please ensure proper risk control.

$BTC is experiencing short-term fluctuations and is facing resistance at the 80,000 mark. BTC is currently priced at $76,450, with a slight increase of 0.4% over the past 24 hours and a weekly gain of 5.2%. In April, it has risen approximately 13%, repeatedly attempting to breach the 80,000 dollar threshold without success, with frequent long upper shadows at high levels indicating a weakening upward momentum in the short term. The range has converged to between 75,000 and 80,000 dollars, with volatility dropping to its lowest level since March, as the market enters a low-volatility waiting period before choosing a direction. Technical Analysis: Bullish structure remains intact, but short-term pullback risks are accumulating. The daily chart shows a well-maintained ascending channel, with prices stabilizing above the 100/200-day moving averages, and the bottom continues to rise, indicating that the mid-term bullish trend has not reversed. The RSI is around 58, and the MACD shows a golden cross, indicating that bullish momentum is still present but weakening marginally. The 4-hour chart shows that high-level momentum is dulling, with a MACD death cross indicating a need to test the strong support at 75,500 dollars. Key resistance levels are at 77,200/79,400 dollars, with support at 75,500/73,600/70,000 dollars. Market Sentiment: Institutional divergence intensifies, ETF fund fluctuations. After a continuous net inflow into U.S. spot ETFs, there has been a phase of net outflow, increasing institutional divergence. Exchange BTC reserves have hit a 7-year low, with light selling pressure; long-term holders (LTH) are not showing significant selling, and their holdings are well locked. The derivatives market is crowded with short positions, and if previous highs are broken, it could trigger short liquidations, leading to a potential short squeeze. On-chain aSOPR > 1 indicates a recovery in the proportion of profitable trades, restoring market profit sentiment. Macroeconomic Factors: Fed's hawkish stance continues, inflation and geopolitical disturbances. The Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates, reinforcing the "higher for longer" signal, delaying rate cut expectations, and causing U.S. Treasury yields to rise, which suppresses the valuation of risk assets. Oil prices are rising due to geopolitical conflicts, reigniting inflation expectations, which indirectly negatively impacts BTC. The unwinding of yen carry trades has caused market volatility, impacting high-beta assets, making it difficult for BTC to remain unaffected in the short term. Short-term outlook and operational advice. In the short term, it is highly likely to continue fluctuating within the 75,000–80,000 dollar range, waiting for macro events to catalyze (Fed decisions, inflation data). If the 75,000 dollar support holds, a bullish outlook is favored; if it breaks, the next targets are 73,600/70,000 dollars. Strict risk control is advised, with light position trading in the range to avoid chasing highs; pay attention to ETF fund flows and Fed policy guidance, and wait for a directional breakout.

$BTC (76319 price level) Long and Short Logic Closed Loop Analysis 1. Technical Analysis (4-hour cycle, primarily looking at weak fluctuations) 1. Moving Average Structure: Current price is 76319, below MA5/MA10 and above MA20. Short-term moving averages are turning down, with clear resistance on rebounds. The 4-hour level is in an adjustment cycle, with no strong bullish structure. 2. Volume-Price Relationship: Previous large drop with increased volume, rebound with decreased volume. The 4-hour K-line rebound lacks incremental funds, belonging to technical repair, with limited rebound space. 3. Key Price Levels: Strong resistance above at 77000-77400 (Bollinger middle track + MA20), strong support below at 75500-75800. Fluctuations within this range are weak, and direction becomes clear after breaking. 2. Funding Situation (Intensified long and short game, short-term bearish) 1. Spot ETF: Continuous net outflow for 3 days recently, with institutions showing increased willingness to reduce holdings, weakening bullish buying momentum. 2. Contract Positions: Short positions accumulated at the high of 79000, with concentrated short selling pressure as prices rebound to around 77000. No incremental funds for bulls to support. 3. Market Sentiment: After the large drop, bottom-fishing sentiment has cooled, with short-term funds primarily on the sidelines, lacking sustained buying for rebounds. 3. Fundamental Analysis (Medium-term bullish, short-term neutral to bearish) 1. Macroeconomic Environment: The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, with interest rate hike expectations suppressing cryptocurrency risk appetite, and no favorable catalysts in the short term. 2. Industry Events: The South Korean prosecution seeks a 20-year sentence for the former CEO of Delio, with regulatory negative sentiment spreading, suppressing market confidence in the short term. 3. Medium-term Support: Spot ETFs still have institutional allocations in the long term, and the Bitcoin halving cycle's benefits have not been fully digested, with medium-term bullish logic unchanged. 4. Final Long and Short Conclusion Short-term (4 hours - 1 day): Primarily short, open shorts in the resistance zone of 77000-77400, stop loss at 77800, target at 75500-74500. Medium-term (3-7 days): Primarily on the sidelines, if breaking below 75500 support, increase short positions; if stabilizing above 77500, then shift to weak bullish fluctuations.

$ETH (2244.63) Long/Short Judgment: Prioritize Short, Cautiously Long 1. Technical Analysis (4-hour Cycle, Core Bearish) 1. Moving Averages Bearish Arrangement: MA5/10/20, EMA5/10/20 are all turning downwards, and the current price of 2244.63 has fallen below all short-term moving averages, indicating a typical bearish trend structure. 2. K-Line Pattern Breakdown: The previous high of 2347.08 formed a double top, followed by a large bearish candle breaking support, with weak rebounds, indicating a bearish pattern of "rising and falling + breakdown." 3. Key Support and Resistance: ◦ Resistance Level: 2260-2280 (strong resistance for short-term rebounds, also the EMA20 position in your screenshot); ◦ Support Level: 2220 (24-hour low, if broken, directly look at 2187). 2. Capital & Sentiment (Bearish Dominance) 1. Large holders across the network are continuously being forcefully liquidated (your screenshot indicates "Brother Maji's long position was forcefully liquidated, losing 4 million this week"), indicating a collapse of long funds; 2. ETH spot ETF funds are experiencing net outflows, with weak market buying intentions; rebounds are merely short covering, with no new buying support; 3. 4-hour Trading Volume: Increased volume on declines, decreased volume on rebounds, with bearish momentum far exceeding bullish. 3. Fundamental Analysis (No Positive News, Weak Fluctuation) 1. The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, with no liquidity boost, and the crypto market overall lacks incremental funds; 2. ETH has no new upgrade benefits, and compared to BTC, its trend continues to be weak, making it a weak follower. 4. Practical Conclusion (Direct Direction) ✅ Short-term prioritize short: If it rebounds to the 2260-2280 resistance area, directly open a short position, with a stop loss above 2300, target 2220→2187; ❌ Not recommended to go long: Currently in a downtrend, bottom fishing is likely to get trapped, unless the price stabilizes above 2330 with volume, can it turn bullish (currently very low probability).

$ETH has stabilized after a sharp decline and is ready for a rebound, with a complete analysis of the short-term long position logic. ETH has bottomed out at 2220, and the time to go long is now. 1. Technical aspect: After a sharp decline on the 4-hour chart, a reversal candlestick has formed, with clear support at the 2220 low and sufficient momentum for a rebound. 2. Volume aspect: After the waterfall sell-off, selling pressure has been completely cleared, with shrinking trading volume indicating reluctance to sell, and bullish support beginning to show. 3. Correlation aspect: BTC has stopped declining and stabilized, with market sentiment improving, providing a safe environment for ETH's rebound. 4. Sentiment aspect: Panic selling has concentrated and finished, with market sentiment shifting from bearish to bullish, and bottom-fishing funds gradually entering the market. 5. Moving average aspect: The short-term oversold condition is far from the moving averages, indicating a strong demand for correction, and a corrective rebound is imminent. 6. News aspect: Positive developments in the Ethereum ecosystem continue to ferment, with the foundation supporting technological development, providing a long-term value floor at the current price. 7. Operational aspect: Currently, go long around 2230, targeting the 2310-2350 range, with a stop loss below 2210.

$ETH experiences a sudden waterfall market: a deep analysis of long and short logic ETH plunges to $2229, a critical judgment on short-term long and short choices 1. Technical aspect: A large bearish candle on the 4-hour chart breaks through, piercing the MA5/MA10 short-term moving averages, completely destroying the bullish pattern, accelerating the bearish trend. 2. Correlation aspect: BTC weakens first, dragging down the overall market, mainstream coins collectively follow the downward trend, and ETH begins to catch up with the decline, increasing the risk of correlated downturns. 3. Capital aspect: Short-term capital is fleeing wildly, high-position profit-taking is concentrated in selling, trading volume has significantly increased, and the selling pressure release is not yet over. 4. Sentiment aspect: Market panic spreads rapidly, the rebound lacks strength to sustain, bullish bottom-fishing willingness is exhausted, and bears dominate absolutely. 5. Trend aspect: Short-term moving averages turn downward forming a death cross, the upward structure completely collapses, and every rebound is a good opportunity for bears to enter. 6. News aspect: Macro negative resonance in the overall market, combined with the diversion of mainstream rotation funds, with no independent positive news to hedge against the decline, the waterfall market has strong continuity. 7. Operational aspect: Primarily shorting in line with the trend, opening shorts in batches in the 2280-2300 range, adding positions below 2220, and setting a stop-loss above 2330.

$BTC experiences a sudden waterfall market: a deep analysis of long and short logic BTC has just plunged sharply, with core judgments on short-term long and short decisions 1. Technical aspect: The daily line has broken below the key MA20 moving average, with the 79488 double top encountering resistance and falling back, establishing a short-term bearish trend, with support at 74825 about to be tested 2. Macroeconomic aspect: Expectations for Fed rate cuts are cooling, a high interest rate environment suppresses risk assets, and a strong dollar triggers a collective outflow of crypto funds 3. Funding aspect: Spot ETF funds have shifted from inflow to outflow, buying power at high levels is weak, and futures funding rates are weakening, with short positions continuing to accumulate 4. Sentiment aspect: Confidence in chasing highs has collapsed, the market has entered a panic atmosphere, long upper shadow candlesticks are releasing selling pressure, and short-term bottom-fishing willingness is low 5. Trend aspect: The 4-hour cycle moving averages have formed a death cross, upward momentum is exhausted, and short-term rebounds are all inducements to go long, with a significantly higher probability of continued bearishness 6. News aspect: Geopolitical oil price surges combined with regulatory concerns, multiple bearish resonances trigger a waterfall, with no substantial positive news to reverse the downward structure 7. Operational aspect: The main strategy is to short in line with the trend, with staggered short positions in the 76300-76800 range during rebounds, adding to positions if it breaks below 74800, and setting a stop loss above 77200

Set a buy order around 2255 for $ETH and see if it can hit the order position. 1. 2255 is a strong support zone from previous pullbacks, having tested it multiple times without effectively breaking below, indicating sufficient buying strength. 2. The price is testing the short-term moving averages on the pullback, with 2255 close to the key support of EMA20, making a rebound likely upon retest. 3. During the pullback phase, trading volume has been continuously shrinking, with selling pressure exhausting; 2255 is a critical point for stabilization on low volume. 4. The daily chart is in a low-level oscillation recovery channel, with 2255 at the lower edge of the oscillation, providing a clear advantage in risk-reward ratio for long positions. 5. Market sentiment is gradually warming up, and the expectation for ETH to rebound is increasing; 2255 is considered a safe zone for accumulation. 6. The Ethereum ecosystem continues to advance, with ongoing positive news from the foundation, giving 2255 value support. 7. The stop-loss space for the buy order at 2255 is manageable, with ample room for upward rebound, aligning with short-term trading logic.

$BTC short positions at high levels are crushing the market, with precise layouts securing full victories. BTC surged to 77888.8, hitting a strong resistance point, with bullish momentum weakening under pressure. Decisively locking in short positions at high levels for a precise ambush, steadily holding positions in line with the downward trend. The market surged and then retreated, breaking downwards, with short-term selling pressure unable to hold. Wave short positions are harvesting profits in line with the trend, opening shorts at high points and cashing out smoothly as it declines. Market sentiment is rapidly switching between bullish and bearish, with high-level bubbles cleared and bears taking the initiative. Accurately grasping the turning point and decisively entering the market, profiting from 77888.8 all the way to the present.