HorusZ
HorusZ
5 years of investment
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Pendle:
* PT-apyUSD (APYX) is being valued at a fixed yield of 16.5%
* Compared to STRC dividend ~11.5%
→ There is a premium of ~480bps, as the market views APYX as unproven
---
Key developments:
* Michael Saylor has converted STRC dividends from cash payments to stock issuance
→ Meaning dividends no longer compete with accumulating Bitcoin in the treasury**
→ The risk the market is pricing in has been structurally reduced
---
Cash flow & allocation:
* $230 million USD of STRC is locked in strategies on Pendle
→ Accounting for 65.6% of APYX's TVL
---
Core differentiator:
→ This is the first protocol to tokenize equity dividends
→ Instead of relying on T-bill yields within stablecoin wrappers
---
Comparison:
* T-bills: limited by Fed interest rates
* Equity dividends (STRC): can scale according to the target yield of the BTC strategy
* Currently: ~9.4% and accelerating
---
Thesis:
→ If Saylor achieves ~15% BTC yield by Q3
→ Then the current 16.5% fixed yield of PT is undervalued
---
Conclusion:
→ The market is still pricing in “unproven risk”
→ While the profit structure has shifted in a more favorable direction

Chainlink (CCIP):
* Processed over 18 billion USD in cross-chain value in the past quarter
* Generates about 6 million USD/month in oracle fees
* Zero exploits on more than 80+ chains
---
Being used by major institutions as settlement infrastructure:
* JPMorgan Chase (Kinexys)
* Ondo Finance
* DTCC
→ For a tokenized securities pilot expected to go live in October 2026, with 50+ participating institutions, including:
* BlackRock
* Goldman Sachs
---
Context:
* DTCC processes 98% of US securities transactions
* Total assets of participating parties: ~87 trillion USD
---
Valuation:
* LINK market cap ~7.28 billion USD
* The protocol is routing settlement for institutions holding tens of trillions USD
→ Yet it is still valued lower than Uniswap
---
Argument:
→ Either this is a cycle mispricing
→ Or the market is correctly pricing the token's "value accrual" risk
---
Conclusion:
→ One of these two is true.
→ And the "bet" lies in which side you believe in.

Zcash:
* Open interest on Hyperliquid reached 503 million USD this week → surpassing Solana
* Trading volume increased 100x YoY, but price only increased 10x
---
Notable developments:
* Robinhood listed ZEC on the exact day many exchanges simultaneously delisted Monero
* “Selective disclosure” privacy is receiving legal green light
* Meanwhile, default/mandatory privacy is being pushed out of the system
---
On-chain data:
* Usage rate of shielded pool increased from 30% → 59.3% in just 12 months
---
Technology comparison:
* Monero (FCMP++): technically superior
* But: “legally untouchable”
---
Conclusion (thesis):
→ The market is pricing a world where:
privacy is only legal if you can turn it off when requested
→ That is the core "trade".

Solana is currently:
* Holding 58% market share in the RWA lending sector
* Processing about 1,000 billion USD/month in stablecoin volume
* Accounting for 98% of on-chain stock transactions, equivalent to 650 million USD/week
---
Major institutions are integrating:
* Western Union uses it for cross-border settlement through 360,000 transaction points
* State Street and JPMorgan Chase have both launched tokenized funds on this system
---
However:
* The SOL/BTC ratio is at its lowest since October 2023
---
Thesis:
→ Either this ratio is "mispriced",
→ Or three of the world's largest financial institutions have chosen the wrong infrastructure
---
The decisive indicator:
→ Not the spot price of SOL
→ But the growth rate of stablecoin transfer volume over the next 2 quarters
→ This is the factor that will confirm whether the thesis is correct or not

Succinct SP1 is currently proving for:
* $7.4 billion in deposits on Base
* Over $15 billion across the networks:
* Optimism
* Arbitrum
* Polygon
---
AggLayer's SP1 bridge remained operational during the $290 million rsETH hack incident — when it should have failed.
→ This demonstrates that the technology has been proven at production scale.
---
However, the PROVE token has still dropped 40% from its January peak.
History has shown the reason:
* Chainlink: from $40 → $6
* The Graph: from $2.80 → $0.10
→ Infrastructure tokens that do not share revenue with holders often become
“volunteer labor for the ecosystem.”
---
The core issue:
* Succinct has not announced a fee-sharing mechanism
* The entire investment thesis at the $0.25 level is:
→ they will solve a problem that all previous infrastructure protocols have failed at
---
The decisive point:
In the next 90 days, the mainnet Base Azul metrics will answer:
→ Whether the economics of "proving" are valuable enough to justify a token or not.

Virtuals x402 Protocol has processed 50 million USD in payments for AI agents, with 420,000 buyers.
* Google Cloud is paying 0.04 USD per Gemini API call, settled in stablecoin through this protocol
* Protocol fee yield stands at 2.2% with a market cap of 543 million USD
* Compared to:
* Uniswap: ~0.8%
* Aave: ~1.3%
---
VIRTUAL is generating 12–15 million USD in annual fees from 18,000 deployed agents
→ Yet the market still values it under the “AI narrative” rather than infrastructure
---
* 43% of all agentic transactions on Base run through this protocol**
---
Conclusion:
This is no longer a “story” (narrative).
→ This is a monopoly on the agent commerce rails
And notably:
→ enterprise customers have already integrated it in practice.

Coinbase earned 300 million USD from distributing USDC in Q1/2025, while Circle only recorded 230 million USD in net profit.
→ Coinbase makes more money from selling Circle's product than Circle itself.
---
Currently, the Clarity Act bans paying interest (yield) on idle stablecoin balances — this directly hits the ~3.5% APY product, which is the main factor keeping users engaged.
---
Signs of weakening:
* The third round of layoffs in 4 years, with total staff down 40% from the peak
* DEX on Solana surpassed their spot volume last month
* Holding 74 billion USD in ETF custody assets, but this is a passive segment with low profit margins
* COIN stock down 10% since the start of the year, while Bitcoin is up over 20%
---
Conclusion:
When your largest revenue source is distributing someone else's stablecoin, and the profit-generating mechanism (yield) has just been "broken" by regulators —
→ you are no longer a genuine trading business.
→ you are just a distribution contract... with a clear expiration date.

MegaETH USDM has reached a supply milestone of 500 million USD, thereby triggering the unlocking of 50 million MEGA tokens.
* Of that, 437 million USD is Ethena's own capital held in reserve.
* A single partner holds the authority to decide whether 53% of the total MEGA supply gets unlocked, based on KPI milestones.
* 5.3 billion tokens are locked and dependent on metrics that a single entity can generate on its own.
→ The tokenomics game is unfolding right before our eyes.
→ This is not an "accidental leak" — they are openly showcasing it.

Monero (XMR) will deploy
FCMP++ stressnet tomorrow at block 2,997,100.
---
Core upgrade:
Anonymity set increases from:
→ Ring signatures with 16 outputs
To:
→ Over 150 million outputs
👉 Equivalent to an improvement of ~10,000 times in privacy level
---
Notable point:
Binance has confirmed
support for this upgrade.
Meanwhile:
→ In the 2023–2024 period, many exchanges have delisted privacy coins
👉 But currently, the largest exchange is
supporting the largest privacy upgrade of Monero ever.
---
Market signal:
Zcash (ZEC) reaches 761 million USD volume/day
→ This is a signal of attention
But:
👉 The real catalyst lies in Monero
---
Argument:
It's not just the narrative of "privacy is back"
But:
→ A leap forward in privacy technology
→ Supported by exchange infrastructure
---
Conclusion:
This week, what to watch is not just the flow of money,
but:
👉 The combination of breakthrough technology + market acceptance
→ This is the real catalyst.

DTCC will begin
production trading on the Canton Network in July.
In which:
Ondo Finance
LayerZero
are listed as the supported native assets on the network.
---
DTCC is currently processing approximately:
→ 2.5 quadrillion USD in securities transactions each year
---
Key point:
When government bonds are tokenized,
👉 Ondo has been "plugged in" to the infrastructure.
---
Current status of Ondo:
Holds ~66% market share of tokenized stocks
800 million USD TVL
15 billion USD cumulative volume
And now:
→ Right within the settlement layer
that organizations like:
JPMorgan Chase
Goldman Sachs
BlackRock
are building.
---
Important insight:
The market could reach 300 trillion USD (addressable market)
not flowing directly into the Ethereum mainnet.
Instead:
→ Going through permissioned rails
→ Available compliance & controls
---
👉 Ondo acts as a "two-way valve":
Connecting the traditional financial system (permissioned)
With public yield markets (DeFi)
---
Timeline:
⏳ July is only ~60 days away.
---
Conclusion:
If this thesis is correct:
→ Institutional money will not "flow directly into crypto"
→ But will go through intermediary infrastructure layers like Ondo
👉 And the position in the "plumbing" is more important than the narrative.
