陈桂林谈交易
陈桂林谈交易
There is a trend to play the trend, and there is no trend to play the fluctuation.
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The world's largest market cap stock $NVDA can go up 5% one day, then 3% the next;
I can only say inflation is too severe, which is good news for bitcoin bitcoin:native.
The price of 196 at the time of the clear signal was basically the lowest point, it's not that I'm awesome, just a coincidence.
陈桂林谈交易
When it comes to the US stock market, we can't not mention $NVDA.
First, the conclusion: I believe that NVIDIA is definitely undervalued right now, with a PE of 40 and a dynamic PE of 24, which are at relatively low points. Currently, funds are just being attracted to more appealing storage options, and this pullback presents a very good opportunity to build positions;
The trend for AI hasn't changed, and the trend for NVIDIA hasn't changed either. A healthy pullback means it's time to get on board.
From a technical perspective: it has been consolidating for 150 days, and the weekly MACD is testing the zero line; breaking out of the previous high in a push wave, with daily moving averages in a bullish arrangement, perfectly aligning with the trading strategy of looking for wave 1, buying wave 2, and waiting for wave 3.
Don't look down, look up (see the chart). In a word, just do it!
What role do $IGV and $MSFT currently play in the US stock market?
Is there a feeling like: "They got tired of playing with hardware, it was too intense; then they thought of you again, casually messing around for a bit to take a break, and after resting, they go back to hardware again?"
Just this expression~
Rebirth: My $NVDA Nvidia Bull Market Dodge: Today surged 2% proudly standing tall!
陈桂林谈交易
When it comes to the US stock market, we can't not mention $NVDA.
First, the conclusion: I believe that NVIDIA is definitely undervalued right now, with a PE of 40 and a dynamic PE of 24, which are at relatively low points. Currently, funds are just being attracted to more appealing storage options, and this pullback presents a very good opportunity to build positions;
The trend for AI hasn't changed, and the trend for NVIDIA hasn't changed either. A healthy pullback means it's time to get on board.
From a technical perspective: it has been consolidating for 150 days, and the weekly MACD is testing the zero line; breaking out of the previous high in a push wave, with daily moving averages in a bullish arrangement, perfectly aligning with the trading strategy of looking for wave 1, buying wave 2, and waiting for wave 3.
Don't look down, look up (see the chart). In a word, just do it!
The pinned post was published on April 15, and the community information was marked on April 14;
BTC has surged to this height, and whether it wants to go down to break a new low, whether in the second half of the bear market or a spike below the bottom followed by a reversal, it is very difficult for the bears.
Therefore, the most likely scenario is option 1.
陈桂林谈交易
链上数据分析和K线技术分析经常会在某个节点擦出同频的火花：
前几天和 @Murphychen888 兄讨论的时候还聊到：
一，从K线技术分析的角度来看，BTC有了在6万做底部的可能性，论据是：在60000-76000这个反弹区间的过程中，由于横盘时间够长，区间够大，硬生生的把周级别的MACD托成了水下金叉，周级别的RSI形成了下半区金叉；
二，但是要注意的是，周级别是一个很大的交易区间，他的指标金叉，特别是水下金叉，并不直接意味着趋势反转，从熊转牛，但是他可以意味着在这个价格区间，在这个K线的震荡结构区间，有了做底的可能性；
三，周级别太大，他内部包含着3日级别、日级别等更小的级别的交易区间，而周级别向上的过程中是一定伴随这他的次级别，特别是日线级别的回撤的，这不是玄学，是规律，试想一下周级别连续量根大绿阳线会不会伴随着日线级别的超买？背离？
四，那为什么说，这个区间有了做底的可能性了呢？观察点就在于周级别金叉内部的日级别回调的力度，分为以下三种情况：
1，浅回调，无论是回调到6万2还是回调到6万8，这个回调的落点都是在震荡区间内部，如果伴随这放量插针、指标超卖、指标背离且回调K线的结构完整，浪型完整，又向上走出推动；那么这都是作为周线级别已经走出向上趋势的证据；
2，破底翻，破前低点6万（例如5万5-5万8之间），破了但是不深，又伴随着完整的下跌结束信号，这会造成什么？会造成周级别的指标背离，指标背离意味着下跌动能的不足，也是趋势反转的信号（看图1，图2对比）；
3，黑天鹅，价格破前底6万，但是无论从K线上还是从指标上看，日线级别的下跌动能依然充足，而由于日线级别的下跌动能充足，在K线向下的过程中，周线指标从绿翻红，造成水下假金叉，那就是一轮新的大级别下跌了。
五、不管是上涨还是下跌，都是大小级别相互影响，互相印证的，那么目前我们到哪了？我们到了前高76000形成的自然压力关口，在这个关口，我们迎来了1小时级别超买和背离带来的回撤，那么接下来，只需要观察，这个1小时级别的回撤是否会扩大级别（4H---12H---1D？）就好了。（图3）
In this round of Bitcoin's rise, many traders are shorting, probably because the posts I usually browse are mostly about trading types, so I keep seeing them...
From the 72,000 mark to the 76,000 wave, and finally now starting from 78,000, they keep testing highs with shorts, continuously taking losses and losing money, some even holding onto losing positions; from "the higher you go, the more excited I get" to now...
A small portion of them have been shorting all the way down from the top, seeing that the bear market structure hasn't changed, so they keep trading with the trend. Honestly, I really admire them; it reminds me of myself back then, not believing the bull market was over, going long on Ethereum from 3,700 all the way down to 3,000 before being forced to stop loss.
A large part of them are what I call the "miscellaneous short sellers"—no shorts at 120,000, no shorts at 116,000, no shorts at 98,000, and only when it dropped to the 60-70,000 range did they start to endure and short. To them, I just want to say, hehe~ serves you right!
The $PEPE I remember should be like this, this, then this, and then this, at the very least it should be like this, right?
What is this now? Where is the PEPE community? Where are the people from the PEPE legion? Where is the spirit of blockchain? Where is the dignity of the number one MEME in the crypto world???
When it comes to the US stock market, we can't not mention $NVDA.
First, the conclusion: I believe that NVIDIA is definitely undervalued right now, with a PE of 40 and a dynamic PE of 24, which are at relatively low points. Currently, funds are just being attracted to more appealing storage options, and this pullback presents a very good opportunity to build positions;
The trend for AI hasn't changed, and the trend for NVIDIA hasn't changed either. A healthy pullback means it's time to get on board.
From a technical perspective: it has been consolidating for 150 days, and the weekly MACD is testing the zero line; breaking out of the previous high in a push wave, with daily moving averages in a bullish arrangement, perfectly aligning with the trading strategy of looking for wave 1, buying wave 2, and waiting for wave 3.
Don't look down, look up (see the chart). In a word, just do it!
陈桂林谈交易
Investing is indeed the best way to monetize one's understanding. On April 8th, I was still discussing Micron and SanDisk with the community and partners, at that time Micron was at 400 and SanDisk at 700 (see image 1);
But to be honest, it was just talk (I said it plainly, I said it for nothing). I was busy bottom-fishing CRCL at that time, and now comparing the gains and holding experience, I really feel like the flash combo has completely outperformed me, and all I can do is shed tears of envy;
To put it bluntly, this is just how people in the crypto space naturally look at crypto-related stocks first when they switch to US stocks. Their understanding and research on AI are not deep enough, still only staying at a superficial level. Ultimately, people can only earn money within the limits of their understanding.
$MSTR has released its earnings report. Personally, I think the significance of such companies' earnings reports is not very great, after all, when looking at MSTR, one indicator is enough: the rise and fall of Bitcoin. It is important to note that MSTR's candlestick price has already reached the upper edge of the previous consolidation range, while the upper edge of Bitcoin's last consolidation range is 98,000 (see image 2);
I see many teachers are no longer buying Bitcoin, but are treating MSTR as a leveraged Bitcoin to buy. Looking at it now, I think it's really a good strategy. No margin required, pure spot trading, naturally leveraged without liquidation, quite good.
@MSX_CN is still the most comprehensive stock exchange I can access for US stocks, basically covering all popular stocks. For crypto friends who find it inconvenient to switch between USDT and USD, it really is a good path to access US stocks.
Investing is indeed the best way to monetize one's understanding. On April 8th, I was still discussing Micron and SanDisk with the community and partners, at that time Micron was at 400 and SanDisk at 700 (see image 1);
But to be honest, it was just talk (I said it plainly, I said it for nothing). I was busy bottom-fishing CRCL at that time, and now comparing the gains and holding experience, I really feel like the flash combo has completely outperformed me, and all I can do is shed tears of envy;
To put it bluntly, this is just how people in the crypto space naturally look at crypto-related stocks first when they switch to US stocks. Their understanding and research on AI are not deep enough, still only staying at a superficial level. Ultimately, people can only earn money within the limits of their understanding.
$MSTR has released its earnings report. Personally, I think the significance of such companies' earnings reports is not very great, after all, when looking at MSTR, one indicator is enough: the rise and fall of Bitcoin. It is important to note that MSTR's candlestick price has already reached the upper edge of the previous consolidation range, while the upper edge of Bitcoin's last consolidation range is 98,000 (see image 2);
I see many teachers are no longer buying Bitcoin, but are treating MSTR as a leveraged Bitcoin to buy. Looking at it now, I think it's really a good strategy. No margin required, pure spot trading, naturally leveraged without liquidation, quite good.
@MSX_CN is still the most comprehensive stock exchange I can access for US stocks, basically covering all popular stocks. For crypto friends who find it inconvenient to switch between USDT and USD, it really is a good path to access US stocks.
麦通MSX
$MSTR.M will release its earnings report after the market closes tonight 🤩
✅ Market Expectations
· Revenue: $125 million
· Net Profit: -$11.413 billion
👀 Highlights:
· Pay attention to the new positions added this quarter and the average holding cost, as MSTR has become a core asset for allocating BTC in the secondary market.
· The massive loss is primarily due to impairment testing of digital assets; watch for whether the company adopts new fair value accounting standards to more accurately reflect asset values.
· Whether the progress of subscription services and cloud transformation can support the stability of basic revenue.
